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Will Gold, Mining Stocks Ride A 'V-Shaped Recovery'? Analysts Say Accumulate 'Oversold Miners'

Author: Surbhi Jain | January 15, 2025 10:01am

As metals markets weather volatility, optimism for a “V-shaped recovery” is gaining traction. JPMorgan analysts Dominic O’Kane and Patrick Jones suggest China's expected fiscal stimulus could be the turning point for the sector.

With metal prices poised for a rebound, they urge investors to “accumulate positions in oversold miners” like Anglo American PLC (OTCQX:NGLOY) (OTCQX:AAUKF), First Quantum Minerals Ltd (OTCPK:FQVLF) and Lundin Mining Corp (OTCPK:LUNMF).

Exchange-traded funds like the SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (NYSE:XME), the iShares MSCI Global Metals & Mining Producers ETF (NYSE:PICK) provide diversified exposure to the metals and mining sector.

Mining Stocks Set For Revival?

The 17% decline in European metals & mining stocks since late September 2024 reflects market caution amid tariff risks and US$/CNY devaluation. However, analysts see this downturn as an opportunity for strategic investment. Anglo American faces near-term challenges, including $2 billion in impairments and delays in its diamond divestment strategy. Despite this, the company may emerge as an M&A target post the Anglo Platinum de-merger.

Lundin Mining and Norsk Hydro ASA (OTCQX:NHYDY) stand out as resilient picks, with strong fundamentals that may help them weather tariff-related uncertainties.

Analysts maintain a positive outlook on these names, expecting them to benefit from the broader market recovery.

Read Also: Gold To Shine Bright In 2025 As Top Investment Bank Predicts Bullish Outlook Amid Trade Tensions

Gold Stocks Shine Amid Market Turbulence

Gold continues to prove its mettle as a safe-haven asset, with prices projected to rise to $2,100 per ounce.

Stocks like AngloGold Ashanti PLC (NYSE:AU), Hochschild Mining PLC (OTCQX:HCHDF), and Fresnillo PLC (OTCPK:FNLPF) remain key picks by the analysts, supported by strong silver production forecasts and rising demand for precious metals.

The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDX) and the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:GDXJ) are popular ways to get exposure to gold miners’ stocks.

The analysts highlight Fresnillo's silver production strength, placing it on a Positive Catalyst Watch.

China's Stimulus: The Tipping Point?

All eyes are on the March 5 National People’s Congress, where China is expected to announce fiscal measures that could fuel a surge in metal prices.

The analysts believe these moves could trigger a sharp market recovery, solidifying the case for accumulating positions in mining stocks before a potential uptrend.

The Takeaway

As metals markets teeter on the edge of revival, accumulating oversold miners may offer strategic value ahead of a “V-shaped recovery.”

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Image created using photos from Shutterstock.

Posted In: AAUKF AU FNLPF FQVLF GDX GDXJ HCHDF LUNMF NGLOY NHYDY PICK XME

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