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The Inflation Threat
The short-term threat is the rise in inflation. With the 5.4% spike year-over-year in June, it's getting harder to deny that inflation is now a problem in America. Granted, this hasn't been news to anyone who has filled up their car recently, but as one Bloomberg TV anchor mused during an apparent adlib on Friday about the spike in used car prices, she lives in Manhattan and doesn't have a car. Given that Manhattan is the media capital of America, this sort of insulation is probably common.
Reliable And Unreliable Inflation Hedges
Despite the scary inflation news, goldbugs' favorite gold ETF, the Sprott Physical Gold Trust (NYSE:PHYS) was flat on the week, as was the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD) and Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was down. A point I make in the video below is that the best hedge against inflation risk driving down the market is a hedge against the market itself going down.
In that video, I use our iPhone app to find optimal puts on the SPDR S&P 500 Trust (NYSE:SPY) to hedge a $1,000,000 portfolio, but the same process could be used to hedge a $10,000 or $10,000,000 portfolio too.
