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To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Please click here for a chart of iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT).
Note the following:
The announcement from the U.S. Treasury is adding to the buying pressure in stocks. Here are the details of the Treasury announcement:
We have been sharing with you the importance of Bank Of Japan (BOJ) policies for U.S. stock investors. In a major development, BOJ is abandoning strict yield control. In the long term, this is negative for the U.S. stock market.
In China, factory activity has returned to contraction. Here are the details:
After this data, there are more demands for government stimulus.
Eurozone inflation eases. Here are the details:
Flash Q3 GDP came at -0.1% vs. 0.0% consensus. This indicates that the economy in Europe is shrinking.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:META), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).
In the early trade, money flows are mixed in SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:QQQ).
The momo crowd is buying stocks in the early trade. Smart money is 🔒 in the early trade. To see the locked content, please click here to start a free trial.
Gold continues to stay above $2,000.
The momo crowd is buying gold in the early trade. Smart money is 🔒 in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:GLD). The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV).
The momo crowd is selling oil in the early trade. Smart money is 🔒 in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:USO).
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) continues to levitate.
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is 🔒. This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding 🔒 in cash or Treasury bills or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of 🔒, and short term hedges of 🔒. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive. If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash. When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks. High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less. Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the 2008 financial crash, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, the COVID crash, the post-COVID bull market, and the 2022 bear market. Please click here to sign up for a free forever Generate Wealth Newsletter.
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