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U.S. Inflation Drop Paves Way For Federal Reserve Rate Cuts: Will Cannabis Stocks Benefit?

Author: Nicolás Jose Rodriguez | July 12, 2024 11:54am

The recent drop in U.S. inflation has sparked discussions about potential interest rate cuts by the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank. As inflation cools, investors are reconsidering their portfolios, with cannabis stocks emerging as a potential opportunity.

Cooling Inflation Trends

Inflation in the U.S. has decreased for three consecutive months, with a 0.1% decline from May to June. This marks the first monthly drop since the pandemic's peak in May 2020. Year-over-year, prices rose by 3% in June, down from 3.3% in May.

Federal Reserve's Response

With inflation approaching the Fed's 2% target, there is growing anticipation that the central bank may start cutting interest rates as early as September. Lower interest rates generally encourage investment in growth sectors, such as cannabis.

Investor Shifts

Traditionally, high inflation drives investors towards big tech stocks due to their strong pricing power and cash reserves. However, as inflation cools and rate cuts loom, investors may shift towards smaller, emerging sectors like cannabis, which offer higher growth potential.

Cannabis Sector Potential

The cannabis industry, particularly U.S. Multi-State Operators (MSOs), stands to benefit from increased investor interest. Lower interest rates reduce borrowing costs, which can help cannabis companies expand operations and improve profitability. Moreover, as the market becomes more stable, investors might seek opportunities in sectors previously considered higher-risk, such as cannabis.

Read Also: 'The Banking Crisis For Cannabis Has Been Over' For Several Years, Experts Discuss What's Next

Market Reactions

Recent market movements reflect this trend. While big tech stocks saw a sell-off despite positive inflation data, smaller caps, including those in the cannabis sector, experienced significant gains. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) ended down 0.86% at $556.48, while the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) climbed 3.59%.

Notable sell-offs included Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) and NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA). The Producer Price Index report showed a higher-than-expected increase, which might temper some expectations of immediate rate cuts but does not derail the overall trend toward lower inflation. This divergence indicates growing investor confidence in sectors that could benefit from lower rates and economic stability.

Investors are shifting from big tech stocks to smaller companies, partly due to a drop in U.S. inflation in June, which supports a disinflation outlook. The current ratio, a measure of a company's ability to pay short-term debts, is often used to assess financial health but has limitations, especially in the cannabis industry where inventory and debt renewal practices can skew the numbers. Understanding these nuances is crucial for accurate financial analysis.

As the Federal Reserve prepares for potential rate cuts in response to cooling inflation, investors are likely to explore new growth opportunities. The cannabis sector, with its promising expansion and profitability prospects, could attract substantial interest, positioning it as a key player in the post-inflation investment landscape.

Read Next: Does Size Matter? These Two Small-Cap Cannabis Stocks Are Masters Of Cash Flow And Credit Management

These issues will be a hot topic at the upcoming Benzinga Cannabis Capital Conference in Chicago this Oct. 8-9. Join us to get more insight into what the wave of weed legalization means for the future of investing in the industry. Hear directly from top executives, investors, advocates, and policymakers. Get your tickets now before prices go up by following this link.

Photo: AI-Generated Image. 

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