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President Joe Biden's announcement not to seek reelection has caused ripple effects in betting markets and PoliFi meme coins.
What Happened: Polymarket trader ‘AnonBidenBull’ lost $2 million betting on the President to become the Democratic nominee for the 2024 election, winning the Presidential election and the popular vote.
On the other hand, popular Polymarket trader ‘Domer’ reported a profit of around $800,000 on betting Joe Biden to drop out of the race.
Yet another trader wagered $12,500 on Kamala Harris to become the 2024 Democratic nominee, seeing their position’s value skyrocket by over 6,000% to nearly $769,000. Polymarket currently estimates Harris’ odds at 79%.
Also Read: President Biden’s Exit Followed Nearly $80M In Wagers On Crypto Prediction Market Polymarket
Why It Matters: These incidents underscore the inherent risks associated with prediction markets like Polymarket, where outcomes are highly dependent on unpredictable political events. The recent surge in activity on Polymarket, particularly from crypto traders, indicates a growing interest in these markets, despite the risks.
Crypto trader Toby tweeted the story of a trader who switched his $8 million investment from Jupiter (CRYPTO: JUP) to Biden-themed meme coin Jeo Boden (CRYPTO: BODEN) at the latter's peak. Later he sold $12,500 worth of shares but held on to the rest. Currently, he is down 98% on the bet, turning the initial $8 million into $85,000. "Rich people can also be incredibly stupid," the trader commented on the example.
Another trader highlighted this downtrend as "the very reason why you don’t want to hold memes that are too specific or tied to a particular." He suggested that unique and universal memes are a better option.
What’s Next: The influence of meme coins is expected to be thoroughly explored at Benzinga’s upcoming Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19.
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This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Image created using artificial intelligence with Midjourney.
Posted In: $JUP