Eni Outlook 2025: Plans To Offset Over €2B In Headwinds By Cutting 2025 Capex, Streamlining Portfolio, And Tightening Costs Amid Tariff Uncertainty

Author: Benzinga Newsdesk | April 24, 2025 01:29am

Outlook 2025

In response to macro headwinds and uncertainty around trade tariffs, the Company is optimizing its 2025 spending plan and will employ its portfolio optionality. Mitigating actions around capex, portfolio, costs and other cash initiatives are expected to offset over €2 bln of negative scenario effects. 

• FY gross capex expected to be below €8.5 bln, down from an initial guidance of around €9 bln; net capex is seen below €6 bln from an initial guidance of 6.5-7 bln.
• At a revised scenario of 65 $/bbl for the Brent price, 40 €/MWh for the TTF gas spot price, 3.5 $/bbl for the Standard Eni Refining margin and a EUR vs USD exchange rate of 1.1, the FY Group's CFFO before working capital adjustments is expected to be at €11 bln. This reflects a better outcome than the changes to the reference scenario imply. 
• Oil and gas production is still expected at 1.7 mln boe/d, assuming a FY Brent price of 65 $/bbl. 
• FY GGP proforma adjusted EBIT is confirmed at €0.8 bln with an upside to over €1 bln in the event of positive negotiation outcomes and supportive market scenario. 
• Enilive and Plenitude: o FY proforma adjusted EBITDA respectively of around €1 bln and above €1.1 bln; o End of year installed renewable capacity projected at more than 5.5 GW (Plenitude @100%); biorefinery capacity at 1.65 MTPA plus 1 MTPA under construction.

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